Assessment of the morbidity of the population of Bishkek city in respect to climate change
Abstract
To assess the human health status of the city’s population under the impact of climatic factors, epidemiological studies were carried out based on data from Bishkek Emergency Care Station in the Kyrgyz Republic. This paper presents the main results of an assessment of climate change-related vulnerability on a number of indicators of population morbidity. Expected levels of morbidity indices were calculated using climatic scenarios (A2-ASF and B-2MES) in Kyrgyzstan. The climate-related health impact assessment revealed relationships between diseases of the circulatory system, the respiratory system and climatic-meteorological factors. Based on greenhouse release scenarios (models A2-ASFand B-2-MESSAGE) and predicted climate changes, forecast tables for levels of morbidity of the population of the Kyrgyz Republic were developed. Ranges of seasonal variation of infectious and non-infectious disease morbidity levels were calculated.
© PRUNELLA Publishers
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, photocopying, elctronic, recording, etc. without the prior written permission of the publisher, PRUNELLA Publishers - RNDr. Marián Janiga, CSc., Vavra Šrobára 1524/6, 03401 Ružomberok, Slovakia, IČO: 30 525 764. Permission requests for creating new collective works, for resale, for advertising or promotional purposes, or for general distribution, should be addressed to the publisher as mentioned in the Slovak Copyright Law. Free submission of an article for publication entails the author(s) irrevocable authorization of the publisher to collect any sums or considerations for copying or reproduction payable by third parties, as mentioned in the Slovak Copyright Law. EV 3492/09.
