Assessment of the morbidity of the population of Bishkek city in respect to climate change
AbstractTo assess the human health status of the city’s population under the impact of climatic factors, epidemiological studies were carried out based on data from Bishkek Emergency Care Station in the Kyrgyz Republic. This paper presents the main results of an assessment of climate change-related vulnerability on a number of indicators of population morbidity. Expected levels of morbidity indices were calculated using climatic scenarios (A2-ASF and B-2MES) in Kyrgyzstan. The climate-related health impact assessment revealed relationships between diseases of the circulatory system, the respiratory system and climatic-meteorological factors. Based on greenhouse release scenarios (models A2-ASF
and B-2-MESSAGE) and predicted climate changes, forecast tables for levels of morbidity of the population of the Kyrgyz Republic were developed. Ranges of seasonal variation of infectious and non-infectious disease morbidity levels were calculated.
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